Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. This is the most of any calendar month thus far in the 21st century. However, if it does rain/snow during the month, expect most of it to occur on higher risk days. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. Multiple locations were found. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. WINTER SEASON 2022/2023 FIRST LOOK FORECAST - Severe Weather Europe The first eight days of the month were on the quiet side before turning active between the 9th and 13th thanks to deeper tropical moisture moving across the area from Hurricance Kay, which moved northwest off the Baja Coast. Today, Katie writes for the Texas and Arizona pages of OnlyInYourState.com and has never been more passionate about a job before. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. La Nia conditions can have varying effects on weather patterns around the world. On average, there are 0 snowy days in Arizona in January. . The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. Normal rainfall for December 0.96". Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). Winter Weather Forecast for 2022 - 2023 | From Direct Weather Flagstaff and Northern Arizona Weather Forecast | naztoday.com On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. HOME > Outlook Maps >Seasonal Forecast Discussion. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. For the first time since 2004, the average Fall temperature was below normal. According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. Our Office; Monsoon; Monsoon Safety; SE Arizona drought page; . Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. "We continue the remarkable drive toward a third consecutive La Nia winter, a relatively rare occurrence in our recorded history, with the last three-peat occurring from 1998-2000," said Dr. Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. Winter- It's Coming! Flagstaff, Arizona Long Range Weather Forecast | WeatherTAB (100 percent delivery time) Could La Nia bring another dry AZ winter, worsening drought? - KNXV The average yearly temperature is below normal for the calendar year through the end of March for the first time since 2017 and the fourth time this century (2001 & 2013). The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. Get Downloadable Images and More Here. CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE AND SIGN-UP The best chance of a colder-than-average January will be in northern Minnesota. Subscribe to azcentral.com today. Reuben Salazar clears snow from his home in Flagstaff on Feb. 23, 2022. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. "We have no strong reason to favor a super-weak vortex like we had in winter 2020-21 at this time, and feel this winter be more like last winter," Crawford said. When Does It End? This is the least amount in a year since there was ten in 2008. On your streaming device:Download 12News+ to your streaming device. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. Arizona winters aren't known for being white or cold, but this is getting ridiculous. Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. Farmers' Almanac forecasts cool weather for Arizona this fall WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. For more detailed information, click the link below. April climate data across southeast Arizona. Nov. 17, 2022 Finally. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 I hope you had a great Christmas and a Happy New Year so far. Flagstaff, AZ Winter Weather Forecast | AccuWeather Today WinterCast Hourly Daily Radar MinuteCast Monthly Air Quality Health & Activities Winter Storm Warning Snow and Ice Outlook 12 - 18. The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) forecasts enhanced probabilities for above normal temperatures for the entire year. Officially, 7.41" of rain was recorded at the International airport which ranks, in the 128 year climatic record period (1895-2022) for Tucson, as the 13th driest year on record. The metro area for most of the month remained under a favorable monsoon flow pattern that brought daily round of showers and thunderstorms which produced strong gusty winds, heavy rain and flash flooding. However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. July climate data across southeast Arizona. All NOAA. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? Extended Winter Weather Forecast for 2022-2023 Goes to the 'Extreme' 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. Monsoon 2022 ended up warmer than normal with an average season temperature of 87.2 which is nine-tenths of a degree above normal. Apr. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. Scottsdale, Arizona Weather Forecast | AerisWeather Only In Your State reported that the state will be seeing some insane polar temperature swings this winter. Katie Lawrence is a Southeast Texas native who graduated 18th in her high school class with a GPA of 4.25. Here are some of the monthly rainfall highlights during 2022: Rainfall totals across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged from 6"-13" across the metro area with significantly higher totals in the surrounding mountains. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. IsArizonaa good place to visit in the winter? Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. September climate data across southeast Arizona, Fall climate data across southeast Arizona, September records more triple digit high temperatures than August. ajgarrison - Flickr Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. The average yearly temperature, through the end of September, of 74.7 is 1.1 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record, tied with 2016. Meanwhile, the Southwest and much of the Rockies are most likely to see December end up warmer than usual. You can expect sleet, snow, and rain throughout the season. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. The temperatures in Arizona in February are comfortable with low of 11 C and and high up to 21 C.. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . Detailed Weather Forecast for February 8 in Az Zubayr, Mufazat al Barah, Iraq - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations - World-Weather.info . Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. And that would bring a significantly colder risk to much of the northern U.S. this winter, according to Crawford. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. This is the 2nd most number of days during Summer on record but well behind the record of 33 days set in 2020. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Love Arizona? Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. How harsh will winter be? Six organizations issue forecasts. Support local journalism. If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. Since it was a colder one than earlier in the month, snow levels at times reached down to the valley floor with some light snow occurring on the east side of the metro area. Feb March 2023 . Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . Rainfall amounts were mostly between 0.25" and 0.75". Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75".
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