But one of the best things to come from the week at Riviera was a viral video that showed a 9-year-old heart transplant recipient, Madelyn Quinn, holding a poster behind the 17th hole, . Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Gdula: Max Homa (20-1, FanDuel) I hate rooting against Max, but his odds are to the point where hes shorter than a lot of names Id rather take. In his last appearance at this tournament, he ended the first round with a score that was in the top five best of the day. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. Zalatoris has finished worse than the tournament average in four of his last five tournaments, including one finish three strokes behind the leader. The short par-70 course proved to be a success for Kevin Kisner. Hes not backing down. Zalatoris has spoken only about the fact that his favorite style of golf is U.S. Open conditions, and with rock-hard greens and extremely thick rough, Bay Hill is about as close to a U.S.-Open-like setup well see all season. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. Poston has sneakily been really good at this tournament with three Top 26 finishes in his last four starts. All of the major golf tournaments, as well as additional significant PGA and European Tour events, are covered by us. Learn from Jon Rahms abbreviated action to maximise your power game. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. Hes riding a super-hot putter and is the most overvalued of the favorites, per my model. Tiger Woods ($7,300 DraftKings | $8,900 FanDuel). As analyzed by our PGA expert picks, Shane Lowry has been one of the most reliable golfers in 2022. The well-rounded nature of Niemanns metrics, gaining strokes in all four major categories over his past 30 rounds, should provide him with everything he needs to contend this week. PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets. The term futures bets refers to wagers placed on the outcome of the next season. You can almost always place a wager on the tournaments winner at a sportsbook. Okay, I admit that it reminds me of the sixth at Hazeltine National, another Trent Jones product, but I don't think Wilson picked Trent's pocket on this one, as both courses were built about the same time, in the early 1960s. World No. During that stretch, hes also gaining 0.22 strokes per round around the green, the fifth-best rate of anyone $9,000 or more. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Sahith Theegala. The last time Zalatoris competed in this event, he placed 29th. Itll be great to see Tiger play this week but lets temper any expectations. After finishing T14 at this tournament last year, I like for Kirk to follow that up with another Top 20 at terrific odds. In general, we provide our Free sports picks today on time, giving you plenty of time to digest our research and get the best golf odds on our PGA picks this week. Additionally, Youngs short game has been in the toilet since the calendar flipped to 2023. Genesis: Collin Morikawa. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! To know more about our writers and our ranking method you can learn more about ESTNN. Therefore, we assume no responsibility for actions taken as a result of information on this site They will keep updating their pre-round odds based on the current standings and results on the leaderboards. According to fellow tour pro Xander Schauffele, yes, he most certainly does. About Us We provide comprehensive form guides, as well as news and links to the appropriate betting markets for PGA picks, to help you make informed golf bets. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. Listed at +100 apiece to finish Top 10, Im getting aggressive and parlaying them to both finish Top 10 this week. The golf picks team has researched the odds board with sportsbooks like FanDuel golf odds and listed its top Wyndham Championship golf picks above. Hes a great fit and, even if he doesnt cash an outright for us, hes still been good enough at this event to get us a nice chunk. SRP: $379.95 BOA; $329.95 lace HyperFlex Finely tuned Read more. You must be of legal age in the state where you are betting on golf. The two time major winner . Riviera is a much more friendly setup to Theegala than TPC Scottsdale. RELATED:Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Branden Grace ($6,700 DraftKings | $7,900 FanDuel). Adrian Meronk ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,500 FanDuel). For the third straight week, one of our experts has cashed a winner, the latest being Christopher Powers, who tipped Chris Kirk at 30-1 to win the Honda Classic. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. RELATED:How Tiger Woods could make a huge jump in the Official World Golf Ranking this week, Jhonattan Vegas ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,600 FanDuel). American Express: Brian Harman. But given how well hes played in 2022 from the tee to the green, a putter that works for him might be able to change that. Sportsbooks in the US should offer golf futures because they are so common. Win. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. It appears that IM has found his form again after stuttering on his journey to Scotland following his backdoor runner-up finish at the 3M Open. Depending on the site you use, you can bet on a player to finish in the top five, ten, or even forty at a tournament, and a variety of other markets. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. WM Phoenix Open Hole-in-One odds (Will someone ace the 16th hole? Though still volatile, hes starting to get a hair more consistentposting three top-five finishes in his past eight starts. Hes finished T2 and T3 here in the past two years, so I love for him to continue in that space and come through as the winner in this elevated event. He simply lost all his strokes with the putter, something that I can forgive. LIV Golf Apparently Spent Over a Billion Dollars to Make Zero Dollars? Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. With the importance of those skills at Riviera, it should be little surprise that he has missed the cut in all three trips to this event. 48,000. Finau had a stretch of 10 straight events in which he gained strokes putting, but that came to an end with losses in two straight. Take a look at some of the most common kinds of golf wagers found in sportsbooks. Poston (+8500). 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022: This drone video shows how Southern Hills has been transformed, High Upside: Jason Day ($7,500 DraftKings | $9,500 FanDuel). Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . RELATED: The sportsbook at TPC Scottsdale looks like it's going to be incredible, Most Likely To Disappoint: Tyrrell Hatton ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,900 FanDuel). You can decide if a hole-in-one will occur, how many strokes the winner will win, if a playoff will take place, and which golfer will shoot the lowest score in a certain round. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, PGA Championship 2022 DFS picks: A surprising fade and bold plays from our data scientist, significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago, Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills. Since the Phoenix Open, hes gained a total of 10.8 strokes on approach, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. Weve been on a heater in the matchup and top-10 markets, going up more than 27 units this season. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. Were burning another big name after whiffing of Fitzpatrick last week. Caddie: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) As I said above, the course fits what he does well, and these are nice odds for someone who top-10s it a bunch (not this year, which is why its nearly 4-to-1. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and . Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Those two golf courses are much better for him than Rivera, which will expose the worst parts of his game. The path to the top of the leaderboard for him is very narrow. The all new HyperFlex Carbon shoe features a moulded carbon fibre power plate that delivers tour-level stability and performance. But, as Schauffele explained on Friday at Bay Hill, Kitayama lifts like one. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. and he won the 2022 BMW PGA Championship over Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm, who both happen to be in the field this week. RELATED: Here are the odds of every player in the field at the 2022 PGA Championship, Safest Option: Justin Thomas ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,700 FanDuel). Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. A long-standing host venue on the PGA Tour, this par 70 design will welcome the top 121 players to Memphis, Tennessee, this week. Ill be thrilled if he plays well, but he wont be making an appearance in my lineups. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! When it comes to attacking the Sedgefield CC course, the South Korean has the ideal skill set, as he frequently splits fairways and ignites his scoring clubs. Hes the only golfer in the $7,000 tier who is gaining more than 1.5 strokes per round over the last 30and hes gaining in every category. 0.18. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022: The top 100 golfers competing at Southern Hills, ranked. Its a good number if nothing else. 2023 Australian Golf Digest. (There were only nine courses last year where strokes gained/around the green was more correlated to success, per my RickRunGood.com course regression model. At the Masters, he had the best result (T3). Sam Ryder ($6,700 DraftKings | $8,400 FanDuel). The fairways and greens are difficult to hit, so there'll be more of an emphasis on short game this week. Im sure hell make the cut, but I dont see him finishing top 10. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. The result marks Kirk's third top-three finish to begin the 2023 season. Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Depending on the sportsbook, these can be more difficult to find; nonetheless, the majority of applications feature props for at least the big competitions. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. The weird extended weekend at Pebble Beach has concluded with Justin Rose as the champion not great for our PGA Tour expert picks and read on the tournament but now we move on to golfs party in the desert as we deliver WM Phoenix Open picks and best bets. Sony Open: Hideki Matsuyama. "Yeah, Kurt, A significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago has restored fairway widths, so finding fairways wont be as essential. (which does not constitute advice) and always recommend you to check terms and conditions before placing any bet. The PGA picks this week present a good opportunity for Lowry to take advantage of his strong golf because there are fewer competitors. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. Its a 30-player event with a guaranteed minimum prize pool of $395,000 for the winner. Tony Finau ($9,500 DraftKings | $11,400 FanDuel). Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. Over the past 50 rounds, Thomas is gaining 1.00 strokes on approach, the second-best mark in the field (behind only Viktor Hovland), according to the RickRunGood.com golf database. Spencer Aguiar, one of the most successful PGA bettors in the industry, now features 10+ weekly articles with his exclusive picks, rankings and models in the TeeOffSports VIP subscription. Of golfers priced $7,700 and greater on DraftKings, only Morikawas short game has been worse during that stretch. Rookies, veterans, and journeymen all need good results at Sedgefield Country Club to ensure their place in the FedEx St, where the top 125 players will be announced next week at Jude Championship field in TPC Southwind. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. Now its Rorys turn. So lets dive in. We expect a complete game, like most majors, to be necessary to playing well but Im putting particular emphasis on approach play and short game. If two golfers are matched up, sportsbooks may make wagers on who will come out on top based on who has the better score. Cameron Young ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,400 FanDuel). Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Hes a major champion, a WGC winner (remember those?) Rules Review: I thought my ball was lost and put another in play, then found my first in the hole(!) Honda: Chris Kirk. The second major of the season is upon us with million-dollar prizes up for grabs for DFS players on DraftKings and big money on FanDuel. Matsuyama has battled injury this year, but when hes played he has played well. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? Homa was splendid in his win at TPC Potomac, battling wet and nasty conditions all week long. Pick to Win WM Phoenix Open (0.5 Units): Xander Schauffele (+1400). There are many bookmakers that offer head-to-head matchup golf betting odds for every round of the tournament, as well as for the full event. Having returned to his alma maters home state of Texas, the 25-year-old is the clear favorite, and a win here may be just the beginning for this talented golfer. Pick To Win: Joaquin Niemann ($8,500 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). Hes not short on confidence, winning twice worldwide in the past 14 months. There are several propositional bets available in addition to the more traditional bets that may be found for every tournament. Hes a big hitter with an all-around game. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. Also, the players that have the necessary statistics in their arsenal to compete and win these PGA picks this week. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. His putter has also been great, beating the field in that category in eight of his past nine. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. 9 this week. Young finished T-13th last year at Bay Hill and T-29th last week at the Honda Classic. Now, run-offs will propel missed approaches down embankmentswhich will really test recovery shots. At most sportsbooks, you can wager on a player to finish in the top three, top five, or top 10 of their event. Now were getting a little bold. At first glance, you might not consider Kitayama as a big boy with his 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. The majority of other prop wagers are either categorized as player or tournament props. The bettor must be 21 or older in most states, but some merely demand that they be 18 years old. Among the "contenders" (ranked 21-60), Max Homa is the current people's choice. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. Despite the negative flatstick, he still finished T-9 and T-14 in those events. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Mitchell has proven to possess a few skills that will be very valuable at Southern Hills.
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